Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager.
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
completed plays / results
SUNDAY, MARCH 31
No plays
SATURDAY, MARCH 30 (+4.8 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x Iowa -.5 2H vs. Colorado (WCBB) W, 2x BOS/NO 2H under 109.5 W, 1x ILL/UConn 2H under 78.5 (-105) W, 2x Bucks -2.5 at Hawks (in-game) W, 2x MEM/ORL 2H over 107.5 W, 5x Hawks 2H -.5 vs. Bucks W, 5x Bucks -10.5 at Hawks +100 in-game L
UFC Fight Night in Atlantic City: 0.25x Loughran via DEC +240 vs. Pacheco W, 3x Gatto -160 vs. Dudakova P, 0.40x Emmers via KO/TKO +310 vs. Landwehr L, 0.15x Landwehr Round 2 win +1100 vs. Emmers L, 0.15x Landwehr Round 3 win +1600 vs. Emmers L, 2x Aslan via KO +110 vs. Turkalj W, 0.25x Burns Round 1 +900 vs. Arce, 0.5x Arce Round 2 +400 vs. Burns , 0.5x Arce Round +700 vs. Burns L, 2x Matthews vs. Buzukja +100 L, 1.0x McKee vs. Njokuani +125 L, 0.20x Algeo Round 3 +1100 vs. Nelson L, 1.0 x Algeo via DEC +120 vs. Nelson L, 2x ML Parlay: Ruziboev and Blanchfield +138 L, 1x Silva via KO/TKO -110 L, 0.4x Weidman via SUB +550 L , 0.5x Luque/Buckley over 2.5 +130 L, 0.15x Luque via SUB +500 L
2x plays: USC -3.5 vs. Baylor (WCBB) W, Duke/UConn over 126.5 (WCBB) L
FRIDAY, MARCH 29 (-5.5 units)
2H / in-game plays 3x Warriors/Hornets 2H under 112 L, 5x Duke ML over Houston in-game -110 W, 5x Houston Team Total under 56.5 in-game W
5x plays: Suns -2 at Thunder L, Suns ML -125 at Thunder L
1x plays: Purdue -4.5 vs. Gonzaga W, Lakers/Pacers 1H over 125.5 L, Lakers/Pacers over 244.5 L
THURSDAY, MARCH 28 (-9.4 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x BOS/ATL 2H over 111.5 W, 3x UNC -3.5 vs. Alabama (in-game) L, 2x Bama +8.5 vs. UNC (in-game) W, 2x UNC 2H Team Total over 47.5 (101.5 for game) L
5x plays: Celtics -15.5 at Hawks L, Celtics 1H -10 at Hawks L, UConn -12 vs. San Diego St. W, San Diego St. under 62.5 points W, UNC Team Total over 89.5 points L
2x plays: San Diego St. 1H Team Total under 28.5 points L, Clemson +7 vs. Arizona W, UNC -5 vs. Alabama L
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 27 (+1.7 units)
5x play: Knicks -13.5 at Raptors W
1.5x plays: Clippers 1Q -2 at Sixers L, Clippers 1H -3.5 at Sixers L
TUESDAY, MARCH 26 (+2.4 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Lakers 2H +.5 at Bucks W, 2x Bucks -9.5 vs. Lakers (in-game) L, 4x Lakers/Bucks under 217.5 (in-game) L
4x play: D’Angelo Russell over 3.5 rebounds (-105) W
MONDAY, MARCH 25(+2.2 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x Celtics/Hawks 2H over 109L, 2x Suns 2H -6 at Spurs L, 4x WVU/Iowa 2H under 78.5 (WCBB)W
2x play: Pacers/Clippers over 233.5 W
3x play: Ole Miss (+10) vs. Notre Dame (WCBB)L
5x play: USC -10.5 vs. Kansas (WCBB)W
SUNDAY, MARCH 24(-6.0 units)
5x plays: UConn -14 vs. Northwestern W, Grand Canyon/Alabama over 169 L, Grand Canyon Team Total over 81.5 L
SATURDAY, MARCH 23(+19.83 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Gonzaga 2H -3 vs. Kansas W, 5x Gonzaga ML vs. Kansas -130 W, 2x Kansas +7.5 vs. Gonzaga (-115) L, 5x Gonzaga/Kansas under 161.5 (-115) W, 2x Gonzaga/Kansas under 169.5 W, 3x Texas/Tennessee under 133.5 W, 5x Nuggets 2H -2.5 at Blazers L
UFC Fight Night plays: 4x Jarno Errens (+135) vs. Steve Nguyen W, 4x Cameron Saaiman (+135) vs. Payton Talbott L, 1x Youssef Zalal vs. Billy Quartantillo (-115) W, 0.5x Fernando Padilla vs. Luis Pajuelo (-170) W, .02x Montserrat Rendon via SUBMISSION +2000 L, 0.4x Montserrat Rendon vs. Darya Zheleznyakova +230 L, .025x A.J. Dobson to win in Round 2 (+1400) L, .025x A.J. Dobson to win in Round 3 (+1800) L, .25x Amanda Ribas via SUBMISSION (+600) L, .25x Amana Ribas via DECISION (+450) L
5x play: Ole Miss (-6.5) vs. Marquette (WCBB) W
2x plays: Holy Cross/Iowa over 157.5 (WCBB) L, Ole Miss 1H -3.5 vs. Marquette (WCBB) L, Ole Miss ML (-300) vs. Marquette (WCBB) W, Illinois (-10) vs. Duquesne W
0.5x plays: Arizona (-9) vs. Dayton W, UNC (-4) vs. Michigan St. W
FRIDAY, MARCH 22(+8.15 units)
5x plays: Houston Cougars 1st Half (-15.5) vs. Longwood W, Houston Cougars (-24.5) vs. Longwood W
2H / in-game plays: 2x Northwestern/FAU 2H under 73 L, 1x 2H Northwestern Team Total under 35.5 L, 2x Yale 2H +6.5 vs. Auburn W, 5x in-game OKC Thunder -10.5 at Raptors W, 3x Thunder 2H -7 at Raptors (-14 for game) W, 3x in-game Raptors +14.5 vs. Thunder L, 1x Longwood 1H +20.5 vs. Houston in-game L, 1x Longwood 1H +18.5 vs. Houston in-game L, 1x Longwood 1H +18.5 vs. Houston (-105) in-game L, 2x Longwood +30.5 vs. Houston (full game hedge) in-game L, 2x IND/LAL 2H under 112 W
2x play: Cade Cunningham over 7.5 assists +110 L
1x plays: UConn -26.5 vs. Stetson W, Duke -12 vs. Vermont W, Wisconsin -5 vs. James Madison L, Auburn -12.5 vs. Yale L, Charleston +9.5 vs. Alabama L, UAB +7 vs. San Diego St. W, Grand Canyon +5.5 vs. St. Mary’s W
Feb. 27 Future: 0.3x on Kentucky 30-1 to win NCAA Tournament L
Feb 25 Future: 0.2x Kentucky 30-1 to win NCAA Tournament L
THURSDAY, MARCH 21(-5.0 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x OAK/KENT 1H under 67.5 L, 2x SAC/WASH 2H under 116 W, 2x OAK/KENT 2H under 84.5 W, 3x in-game BKN/MIL under 202.5 L, 2x UTA/DAL 2H under 118 W, 2x Hawks 2H Team Total under 52.5 +100 L
1x plays: BYU -9.5 vs. Duquesne L, Tennessee -21.5 vs. St. Peter’s W, Oakland/Kentucky under 162 W, Akron +12 vs. Creighton L
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20 (-10 units)
2H / in-game plays: 1x MIL/BOS 2H under 110 L, 1x SAC/TOR 2H under 112.5 W, 2x UTA/OKC 2H under 118.5 L, 4x in-game PHI/PHX under 210.5 L, 2x Grizzlies 2H +3 at Warriors L, 1x MEM/GSW 2H under 112.5 L
TUESDAY, MARCH 19 (-1.1 units)
2H / in-game plays: 1x Cornell/Ohio State 2H under 85.5 L, 1x Xavier 2H -2.5 at Georgia W, 1x Rockets/Wizards 2H under 115.5 L, 3x Mavs/Spurs under 230.5 (in-game) W, 2x Nuggets Team Total over 122.5 points (-115) (52.5 for 2H) L
0.5 plays: Ohio State -11 vs. Cornell L, Colorado St./Virginia under 121 W, Kansas St. +5.5 at Iowa L
MONDAY, MARCH 18 (+10.95 units)
2H / in-game play: 1x Pistons/Celtics 2H under 112.5 W
5x play: Lakers -9 vs. Hawks W
4x play: Jaden Ivey over 3.5 rebounds +100 W
2x plays: Celtics 1st Half -10 vs. Pistons W, Heat/Sixers under 206 W, Knicks/Warriors under 211.5 L
1x plays: Jaden Ivey over 1.5 made three-pointers -185 L, Derrick White over 2.5 made three-pointers -165 W
SUNDAY, MARCH 17 (-5.2 units)
2H plays: 2x Brown 2H +4 vs. Yale W, 3.5x Mavs 2H ML vs Nuggets -105 W, 1x Hawks 2H team total over 49.5 +100 L, 2x ATL/LAC 2H over 108 L
5x play: Nuggets -1 at Mavs L
March 14 Futures: 0.2x Kansas St. to win Big 12 tourney +5000 (DraftKings) L, 0.3x Florida to win SEC tourney +1600 (DraftKings) L, 0.5x Boise St. to win Mountain West tourney +650 (DraftKings) L
March 8 Future: 2x Colorado to NOT make NCAA Tournament +220 (DraftKings) L
Feb 25 Future: 1x St. John’s to MISS the NCAA Tournament (-425) (DraftKings)W
SATURDAY, MARCH 16 (+13.0 units)
5x plays: UConn -7.5 vs. Marquette W, New Mexico/San Diego St. under 145 W
3x play: Temple +11 vs. FAU W
FRIDAY, MARCH 15 (-2.5 units)
5x play: Kentucky -5.5 vs. Texas A&M L
3x play: Wisconsin -3 vs. Northwestern W
THURSDAY, MARCH 14 (+6.25 units)
2H / in-game plays: 2x USC/Arizona 2H under 78.5 W, 2x USC 2H Team Total under 37.5 (53.5 for game) W, 1x Clippers/Bulls 2H under 109 (226 for game) L, 3x Bucks -2.5 -115 vs. Sixers (in-game) W, 3x Blazers 2nd Half Team Total under 47.5 points (-105) L
2.5x play: St. John’s 1st Half -2 vs. Seton Hall (-105) W
1x play: Wisconsin -4 vs. Maryland W
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13 (+22.10 units)
2nd Half / in-game plays: 1.5x Oklahoma +8.5 vs. TCU (in-game) W, 1x USC/Washington 2H under 81 W, 2x Heat +7.5 vs. Nuggets (in-game) L, 2x Heat +6.5 vs. Nuggets (in-game) L, 1.5x Nuggets/Heat 2H under 106 (200 for game) W, 3x Kansas +7.5 vs. Cincinnati (in-game) L
5x plays: Eastern Washington / Northern Arizona under 140.5 (WCBB) W, Rice / East Carolina under 128.5 (WCBB)W, USC -3.5 vs. Washington W, TCU -2 vs. Oklahoma, Cincinnati -2.5 vs. Kansas W
3x play: Nuggets -4.5 at Heat W
2x plays: Lakers/Kings 1st Half over 122 L, Cade Cunningham over 2.5 made 3-pointers (+150) vs. Raptors L, Nuggets -3.5 at Heat W
TUESDAY, MARCH 12 (-5.4 units)
2nd Half/in-game Plays: 2x Charleston -8 over Stony Brook P, 2x Stony Brook team total under 36.5 (game total of 76.5) L, 3x Miami/Boston College under 80 W, 1x Thunder -6.5 vs. Pacers L, 2x Rockets/Spurs under 113.5 (will grade at 113) P, 1x Gonzaga/St. Mary’s under 73.5 W, 1.5x Celtics/Jazz under 112 W, 1.5x Timberwolves -1.5 at Clippers W, .5x Bucks/Kings over 114 L, 4x in-game bet (entering 4Q) T’Wolves/Clippers under 216.5 (-115)L
3x play: Peyton Pritchard over 11.5 points (-115) L
.5x play: Peyton Pritchard over 2.5 made 3-pointers (+135) L
LEANS: Oklahoma St. +4.5 L, Cincinnati -10.5 L, Notre Dame -1.5 W, NC State/Louisville under 148.5 L, Gonzaga -3 L, Bucks +1 L
MONDAY, MARCH 11 (-6.81 units)
Halftime plays: .5x USF/Gonzaga 2nd Half under 81 L, .5x Blazers 2nd Half +2.5 L
2.5x plays: Spurs +5 vs. Warriors L, Suns/Cavs under 220.5L
1x plays: Suns -6.5 vs. Cavs L, Celtics 1H -7 at Blazers W
SUNDAY, MARCH 10 (-6.81 units)
2x plays: Iowa +2 vs. Illinois, Iowa 1st Half +.5, Iowa 1st Half Team Total over 40.5 L
.07x plays (Arnold Palmer Invitational): Will Zalatoris 35-1, Min Woo Lee 45-1, Byeong Hun An 45-1 L
SATURDAY, MARCH 9 (+4.15 units)
UFC 299 plays: .5x Marlon Vera over Sean O’Malley +210 L, .1x Vera by SUB +2000 L, .05x Vera in Round 3 +2000 L, .05x Vera in Round 4 +2200 L, .05x Vera in Round 5 +2600 L, 2x Poirier/St. Denis under 2.5 rounds -120 W, 4x Yadong Song +110 vs. Petr Yan L
5x plays: Creighton -1 at Villanova W, BYU -13 vs. Oklahoma St. W
4x play: St. John’s 1st Half -12 vs. Georgetown L
3x play: Celtics/Suns under 226 W
2x plays: Kansas St. +3.5 vs. Iowa St. W, Florida -9 at Vanderbilt L, LSU -9 vs. Missouri L, Princeton -6 at Penn W
1x plays: St. John’s -20 vs. Georgetown L, Brown +12 at Yale W, Cornell -5.5 at Columbia W, Duke -5 vs. UNC L, UNLV +6 at Nevada L
FRIDAY, MARCH 8 (+3.55 units)
4x play: D’Angelo Russell over 3.5 rebounds W
3x plays: Oregon St./Stanford under 130 (WCBB) W, Bucks -3 at Lakers (-115) L
THURSDAY, MARCH 7 (-7.75 units)
3x plays: Suns -10 vs. Raptors L, Warriors -6.5 vs. Bulls L
.5x plays: T’Wolves/Pacers under 229 W, Heat/Mavs over 229 L, Oregon -3 vs. Colorado L, USC -9.5 vs. Arizona St. L
LEANS: Nets/Pistons under 215.5 L, Celtics/Nuggets under 220.5 L, Bulls TT under 107.5 L, Kings -11 L, Cal Poly +23.5 W, Cal +4 L, Washington +6.5 W
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 6 (-2.97 units)
5x play: Iowa St. -7 vs. BYU L
2.5x plays: Thunder -13 at Blazers L, Utah St. -10.5 at San Jose St. W, ML Parlay: Iowa St. (-320) + Utah St. (-600): risking 2.5 to win 1.33 W
1x plays: Houston/UCF under 130.5 W, Bucks/Warriors under 226.5 W
.5x play: Minnesota -5 vs. Indiana L
TUESDAY, MARCH 5 (-0.95 units)
3x plays: Celtics -7.5 at Cavs L, St. John’s -19 at DePaul W, Tulsa -3.5 at Tulane (WCBB) W
1.5x plays: Knicks -2.5 vs. Hawks L, Mavs -2.5 (1st Half) vs. Pacers L, Illinois -2 vs. Purdue L, Auburn/Missouri over 149 W
1x plays: Kansas -11 vs. Kansas St. W, Notre Dame +15 at North Carolina L, Virginia Tech -8 at Louisville W, Syracuse +9.5 at Clemson L
MONDAY, MARCH 4 (-0.20 units)
2x plays: Baylor -6.5 vs. Texas
1.5x plays: Texas/Baylor under 145.5 L, Texas Team Total under 69.5 L, Grizzlies/Nets under 209.5 W
1x plays: Memphis Grizzlies Team Total under 97.5 L, Jazz -5 vs. Wizards W
.5x Plays Panthers/Rangers over 5.5 (-125) W, Bruins/Leafs over 6.5 L
.25x plays: Overtime in Bruins/Leafs (+340) L
LEANS: NC State +6.5 L, Florida Gulf Coast -3.5 L, Bucks -3.5 W, Blazers +14 W, Bulls/Kings under 229.5 W, Lakers +1.5 W
SUNDAY, MARCH 3 (+1.5 units)
1x plays: Celtics 1st Half -4.5 vs Warriors W
.5x plays: Hornets +7.5 at Raptors W
SATURDAY, MARCH 2 (-9.55 units)
3x plays: Baylor -5 W, Kansas team total under 69.5 points L, Heat -8 L
2x plays: Kansas/Baylor under 145 L, Alabama -4 L, Blazers +2 W
1x plays: Creighton -4.5 W, Charlotte -4 (-115) L, Washington -4 L, Boston College +1 L, St. Mary’s ML -140 L, San Jose St. +13 L
.5x plays: Butler -12.5 W, LSU -3 W
Leans: Penn St. +6 W, Iowa St. -3.5 W, Rockets +9.5 W
FRIDAY, MARCH 1 (+.9 units)
.5x plays: Hornets +11.5 W, Mavs/Celtics over 237.5 W, Bucks -4.5 W, Brown -2.5 W, Utah St. -17.5 L, Air Force/Utah St. over 137.5 L
Leans: Grizzlies -1 L, Clippers -15.5 W, Fresno St. +14.5 W