Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager.
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
completed plays / results
WEDNESDAY, JULY 31(-7.41 units)
Future from July 28: 1x Leon Marchand +260 Men’s 200m Breaststroke W
In-game
4x White Sox under 2.5 runs -105 L
5x South Sudan under 79.5 points -110 L
5x South Sudan under 76.5 points -115 L
3x Mariners/Red Sox under 7.5 -135 W
1.2x Mariners +370 (HEDGE) L
4x Pirates under 2.5 runs +102 (FD) L
4x Framber Valdez over 17.5 outs -120 W
2x Japan +6.5 +105 vs. Germany (Women’s Hoops) (HEDGE) L
MLB
3x Nestor Cortes over 5.5 Hits allowed -130 L
2x Giants First 5 (-.5, -140) vs. A’s W
OLYMPIC WOMEN’S BASKETBALL
5x Germany -1.5 vs. Japan -106 W
OLYMPIC WOMEN’S WATER POLO
0.5x USA -6.5 vs. Italy -115 W
OLYMPIC MEN’S WATER POLO
3.5x Greece -.5 vs. USA -114 W
2x Greece/USA over 21.5 -120 W
OLYMPIC SWIMMING
3x Leon Marchand -333 Gold in 200m IM W
0.2x Simona Quadarella +2900 Women’s 1500m Freestyle L
OLYMPIC MEN’S BASKETBALL
4x Anthony Davis over 8.5 rebs +106 L
2x Puerto Rico under 77.5 vs. Serbia W
1x USA/South Sudan under 191.5 W
0.2 South Sudan wins 1H / USA wins game +2500 L
1x Carlik Jones under 16.5 points -106 L
0.5x Carlik Jones Alt under 0.5 made 3-ptrs +270 L
TUESDAY, JULY 30 (+8.350 units)
In-game
5x Brazil Team Total under 76.5 W
3x Brazil Team Total over 70.5 -105 (HEDGE/MIDDLE) W
3x Yanks/Phillies under 8.5 +120 L
3x A’s/Giants under 5.5 +100 L
2x A’s/Giants under 5.5 -120 L
MLB
1x Royals -1.5, -115 at White Sox L
1x A’s/Giants First 5 under 4 +100 PUSH
OLYMPIC MEN’S WATER POLO
1x Japan +1.5 -114 vs. France W
0.5x Japan -.5 +240 vs. France L
0.5x Croatia/Italy over 20.5 goals -102 W
OLYMPIC MEN’S BASKETBALL
5x Brazil Team Total under 76.5 -110 W
3x Germany -12.5 vs. Brazil W
1x Australia +6.5 vs. Canada L
2x Australia under 86.5 -110 W
MONDAY, JULY 29(-20.63 units)
In-game
2x Japan women’s basketball +22.5 vs. USA -115 L
5x Japan/USA under 172.5 -115 L
4x Yankees/Phillies under 10.5 -132 L
3x Astros under 1.5 runs +105 L
3x Pirates/Astros under 3.5 +105 L
2x Pirates under 1.5 runs -160 L
3x Astros under 3.5 runs -148 W
MLB
1.5x Paul Skenes over 7.5 strikeouts +125 L
2x Yankees/Phillies under 9 -115 L
1x 3-leg parlay +100……Royals -164 at White Sox + Germany -800 vs. Brazil Men’s Basketball + Summer McIntosh -950 Women’s 400m IM W
OLYMPIC SWIMMING
2x Parlay -327……David Popovici -550 Men’s 200m Freestyle + Summer McIntosh -950 Women’s 400m IM W
OLYMPIC WOMEN’S WATER POLO
0.75x 3-leg Parlay +530….Italy -5.5, China +5.5, Canada +6.5 L
1x USA -2.5 -102 vs. Spain -102 L
SUNDAY, JULY 28 (+.550 units)
OLYMPIC WATER POLO
1x Men’s: Italy -1.5, -130 vs. USA W
OLYMPIC SWIMMING
3x Leon Marchand to win GOLD in Men’s Swimming 400 IM -500 W
1x Haiyang Qin +175 to win GOLD in Men’s Swimming 100m Breastroke W
OLYMPIC MEN’S BASKETBALL
0.25x Serbia +15.5 vs. USA -112 L
2x Serbia/USA under 182 L
SATURDAY, JULY 27 (+6.025 units)
In-game
2x Bannon -160 vs. Ardelean UFC W
1x Kape +500 over Mokaev UFC L
3x Caolan Loughran -112 UFC L
4x Twins/Tigers under 7.5 -135 L
1.5x Rockies +1.5 -120 (HEDGE) L
2x White Sox under 2.5 runs -168 L
3x Rockies/Giants under 5.5 -118 W
2x Rockies/Giants under 5.5 -115 W
2x Rockies +4.5 +310 HEDGE L
5x Bilal Muhammad -112 vs. Leon Edwards W
5x Bilal Muhammad +104 vs. Leon Edwards W
1.5x Edwards +460 (HEDGE) L
MLB
0.5x Tigers -112 vs. Twins W
0.5x Tigers First 5 -125 vs. Twins L
1x Mets -108 vs. Braves L
4x Blake Snell over 17.5 outs recorded -145 W
1.5x Giants First 5 -.5, -145 vs. Rockies (Game 1) W
1.5x Giants -1.5, +110 vs. Rockies (Game 1) W
UFC 304
0.5x Edwards/Muhammad over 4.5 rounds -185 W
2x Tom Aspinall via KO -155 W
5x Curtis Blaydes -125 vs. Aspinall DECISION-ONLY MarketN/A
1x Duncan/Rodrigues fight to NOT go the distance -245 L
1x Patterson/Crosbie fight to end via KO/TKO/DQ +185 L
1x ML Parlay -105: Mokaev -185 + Aspinall -380 W
OLYMPIC WATER POLO
1x Women’s: China +6.5 -115 vs. Australia W
OLYMPIC MEN’S BASKETBALL
2.5x Canada -8 vs. Greece L
3x Australia -5.5 vs. Spain W
FRIDAY, JULY 26(-8.6 units)
In-game
4x Yankees under 4.5 runs -130 L
2x Yankees under 4.5 -135 L
3x White Sox under 1.5 runs -125 W
3 Rockies under 2.5 runs -125 L
MLB
1x Red Sox +105 vs. Yankees W
2x Nestor Cortes over 2.5 ER allowed -115 W
1.5x Mariners/White Sox under 7 +100 L
1.5x Mariners/White Sox First 5 under 3.5 +100 L
THURSDAY, JULY 25 (+5.15 units)
In-game play
3x Mets/Braves under 6.5 -135 W
2x Mets Team Total under 2.5 -125 L
3x ATL/NYM under 5.5 +105 W
1x Lindor 3rd AB a Walk/HBP +750 L
MLB
1x Braves/Mets under 7 +100 W
1.5x A’s +100 at Angels W
WEDNESDAY, JULY 24(-10.375 units)
In-game
2x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 -150 L
3x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 +110 L
2x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 -125 L
4x Mets/Yankees under 9.5 -105 L
MLB
2x Aaron Judge NO RBI -155 W
1x Mets First 5 Team Total under 1.5 +100 L
0.5x NYM/NYY First 5 under 4.5 runs -115 L
1x Reds/Braves under 8 runs (Game 2) PPD
2x Giants over 2.5 runs -165 W
0.1x Tyler Fitzgerald to hit HR +850 L
TUESDAY, JULY 23 (+1.55 units)
In-game
3x Mets/Yanks under 7.5 -130 W
2x SF/LAD under 6.5 -105 L
MLB
0.5x Aaron Judge under .5 Walks +185 L
2x Paul Skenes over 7.5 Strikeouts +100 W
0.1 Paul Skenes to throw a no-hitter thru 5 innings +2100 L
0.75x Angels First 5 team total under 1.5 runs -130 L
MONDAY, JULY 22 (+3.40 units)
In-game: 3x Giants/Dodgers under 6.5 -113 W
MLB
1x Aaron Judge over 0.5 walks -105 L
0.5x Tigers -110 at Guardians W
0.5x Tarik Skubal over 6.5 Strikeouts +106 L
2x Blake Snell over 14.5 outs recorded -165 W
NBA
0.5x Grizzlies (-2.5) vs. Heat L
SUNDAY, JULY 21(-2.825 units)
Sunday MLB
1x White Sox First 5 Team Total under 1.5 -130 W
1x Royals First 5 -.5 -140 L
0.5x CWS/KC First 5 under 4.5 -113 W
0.5x CWS/KC under 8 -102 W
The Open Championship (posted Wednesday)
To Win: 0.2x Jon Rahm 22-1 L, 0.2x Tyrrell Hatton 28-1 L, 0.2x Viktor Hovland 33-1 L, 0.2x Tony Finau 50-1 L, 0.1x Henrik Stenson 500-1 L
0.3x Scottie Scheffler to MISS cut +600 L
3x Tony Finau Top 30 +100 L
1.5x Tyrell Hatton vs. Bryson DeChambeau -110 (Tourney) W
0.5x Jon Rahm vs. Tommy Fleetwood -105 (Tourney) W
0.5x Viktor Hovland vs. Robert MacIntyre -145 (Tourney) L
0.3x Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 +100 L
0.2x Aaron Rai Top 20 +220 L
SATURDAY, JULY 20(-2.98 units)
In-play
2x Thomas Peterson -350 vs. Usman W
4x WNBA All-Star Game under 191.5 -113 L
UFC
0.5x Thomas Petersen +100 W
1x Parlay +105: Usman/Petersen over 2.5 + Carolina/Pudilova over 2.5 W
0.5x Pudilova +100 L
0.5x Pudilova by DEC +160 L
1x ML Parlay +127: Miranda Maverick + Steve Garcia W
0.5x Miranda Maverick via DEC -105 W
0.1x Cody Gibson in Round 2 +650 L
0.1x Cody Gibson in Round 3 +1000 L
0.5x Cody Gibson + Over 1.5 parlay +115 L
1.5x Hyder Amil +140 “Decision Only” No Action
2x Bruno Silva -118 W
1x Bruno Silva Inside The Distance (“ITD”) +220 W
0.5x Bill Algeo ITD +250 L
0.1x Bill Algeo in Round 2 +1000 L
0.1x Bill Algeo in Round 3 +1200 L
2x Kaynan Kruschewsky -130 L
2x Steve Garcia ITD -120 W
3x Lemos/Jandiroba over 2.5 -170 L
FRIDAY, JULY 19(-1.85 units)
MLB: 1x Phillies (-135) at Pirates L
WNBA: 0.5x Kayla McBride to win 3-pt contest +110 L
THURSDAY, JULY 18 (+0.0 units)
No plays
WEDNESDAY, JULY 17(-6.06 units)
May 14 future: 5x Minnesota Lynx over 17.5 wins -113 W (Grading these to consolidate. Will correct if somehow graded incorrectly)
May 14 future: 3x Dallas Wings under 20.5 wins -102 W
June 8 future: 3x Dallas Wings under 18.5 wins +108 W
In-game
5x Fever +3.5 -110 (Halftime) L
5x Fever ML +150 L
1.5x Wings ML +350 (Hedge/Scalp) W
2x Wings +4.5 +100 (Hedge/Middle) W
WNBA
5x Lynx -8 vs. Dream L
5x Lynx 1H Team Total over 41.5 -108 L
3x ML Parlay: Lynx + Fever -105 L
TUESDAY, JULY 16(-22.975 units)
In-game
2x Sun/Liberty 2H under 75.5 -108 W
5x Sun +1.5 -104 L
5x Sun +.5 -113L
5x Aces team total over 86.5 -115 L
5x Aces -4.5 -105 vs. Sky L
MLB
1.5x MLB All-Star Game under 7.5 runs -115 L
WNBA
1x Sparks +9 vs. Storm W
2x A’ja Wilson under 12.5 rebounds -120
MONDAY, JULY 15 (+0.0 units)
No plays
SUNDAY, JULY 14 (+11.85 units)
In-game
5x Aces -6.5 -105 at Mystics W
3x Mystics +9.5 -105 (HEDGE) L
5x Fever +7.5 -115 W
WNBA
2x Dream/Storm under 156 W
3x Dream team total under 70.5 W
SATURDAY, JULY 13(-8.67 units)
UFC
1.5x Rose Namajunas -225 W
1.5x Ponzinibbio/Salikhov under 2.5 rounds -118 L
2x Bonfim/Loosa under 2.5 rounds -170 L
0.2x Ange Loosa to win in Round 2 +1900 L
0.2x Ange Loosa to win in Round 3 +2200 L
0.25x Christian Rodriguez to win in R1 +430 L
0.25x Joshua Van to win Inside the Distance +350 L
0.5x Luana Santos via SUB +180 W
0.5x Jackson/Blackshear under 2.5 rounds +180 W
0.2x Josh Frend in R2 +650 L
0.2x Josh Frend in R3 +1000 L
WNBA
2x Angel Reese under 12.5 rebounds +114 L
5x Sparks/Wings over 172.5 L
2x under 176.5 -104 (Halftime Hedge) W
FRIDAY, JULY 12 (+1.60 units)
In-game
3x Fever 2nd Half +2 L
4x Lynx +11.5 +104 L
3x Storm -9.5 -115 W
MLB
1x Kyle Hendricks under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-155) W
WNBA
2x Aces/Dream under 170 W
4x Atlanta Dream under 77.5 points W
1x Lynx +6.5 at Storm L
THURSDAY, JULY 11(-3.68 units)
2x Angel Reese to record 12+ rebounds -184 L
WEDNESDAY, JULY 10(-6.46 units)
In-play:
4x Liberty/Sun 2H under 78.5 -125 W
4x Aces/Storm under 160.5 L
3.8x Storm +6.5 -122 (Hedge/Middle) W
WNBA:
2x Liberty -2.5 at Sun W
3x ML Parlay -112: Fever and Sky L
4x Aces -4.5 at Storm (***will hedge with in-game) W
1x Wings +7.5 at Mercury L
MLB:
2x Giants -150 vs. Blue Jays L
TUESDAY, JULY 9 (+2.45 units)
WNBA: 3x Lynx/Sparks under 158 W
MLB: 0.5x Rockies team total under 3.5 -111 L
MONDAY, JULY 8 (+0.50 units)
0.5x Rockies under 4.5 runs -150 W
SUNDAY, JULY 7 (+19.0 units)
WNBA: 2x Sun 1st Half -8.5 vs. Dream W
MLB: 1.5x Tigers -135 at Reds W
GOLF (posted Wednesday):
0.5x Denny McCarthy to win +2200 L
0.5x Davis Thompson to win +2200 11xW
2x McCarthy to finish Top 20 +125 W
2x Davis Thompson to finish Top 20 +125 W
SATURDAY, JULY 6(-1.15 units)
MLB: 1x Royals -1.5, -115 at Rockies L
FRIDAY, JULY 5(-1.55 units)
In-game: 2x Dream +7.5 -115 W
MLB: 1x Kyle Freeland under 3.5 Strikeouts -185 L
WNBA:
5x Wings -1.5 vs. Dream W
5x Aces -12.5 at Sparks L
2x Aces 1st Half -7 at Sparks L
THURSDAY, JULY 4 (-9.176 units)
Hot Dog Eating Contest: 2x James Webb -8.5 hot dogs -115 vs. Sudo L, 1x Ebihara +5.5 hot dogs -130 vs. Sudo L, 0.2x Patrick Bertoletti to win men’s contest +900 W
In-game: 5x Sun +5.5 -115 W
WNBA: 5x Lynx -2 vs. Sun -112 L, 5x Lynx ML -132 vs. Sun L
MLB:
0.5x Max Scherzer under 4.5 Strikeouts -105 W
0.4x Max Scherzer under 2.5 ER allowed -169 L
WEDNESDAY, JULY 3 (+7.0 units)
In-game: 2x Wings +10.5 -115 W
WNBA: 5x Mercury -4.5 -105 at Wings W
TUESDAY, JULY 2 (-7.45 units)
In-game: 3x Sparks ML -140 L, 5x Mystics +10.5 at Sparks -104 W, 4x Mystics +4.5 at Sparks -113 W, 3x Fever/Aces 1H over 95.5 +100 L, 5x Fever +11.5 at Aces -115 L, 2x Sky/Dream under 164.5 -108 W
WNBA: 3x Sky/Dream under 159.5 L, 2x Lynx +6.5 at Liberty L
MONDAY, JULY 1 (-2.20 units)
2x Wings +11.5 at Storm L