DOUG’S BETTING CARD – JUNE 2024
Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager.
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
completed plays / results
SUNDAY, JUNE 30(+21.79 units)
In-game: 5x Lynx ML -110 W, 3x Lynx/Sky under 141.5 -104 W, 3x Fever +11.5 +108 W, 5x Lynx ML -105 W, 5x Mercury ML -110 L, 5x Sky +7.5 -105 L, 2x Fever +3.5 -120 W
MLB: 2x Logan Allen under 3.5 Strikeouts +115 W
WNBA: 5x Lynx -4.5 at Sky (posted Saturday) W, 2x Angel Reese over 11.5 Rebounds +100 W, 5x Lynx -3.5 at Sky (posted Thursday) W
SATURDAY, JUNE 29(+10.105 units)
In-game: 5x Aces ML +114 W, 2x Mystics +7.5 -120 L
WNBA: 2x Storm -10 vs. Wings W
UFC 303: 0.5x Pereira/Prochazka over 1.5 rounds -155 L, 3x Diego Lopes -154 vs. Ortega (FIGHT CANCELED), 0.3x Diego Lopes Round 1 KO/TKO/DQ +550 vs. Ortega (FIGHT CANCELED), 1.5x Jean Silva +102 W, 2x Joe Pyfer in Round 1 or 2 +155 W, 1x Ian Garry -162 W, 2x Payton Talbott via KO or SUB -250 W, 2x Payton Talbott in R1 or R2 -120 W, 3x Ige/Lopes fight to NOT start Round 3 -135 L
FRIDAY, JUNE 28 (-0.50 units)
In-game: 0.3x Alyssa Thomas triple-double +2400 L, 0.2x DeWanna Bonner to score 20+ pts +600 L
THURSDAY, JUNE 26(+6.52 units)
In-game: 5x Wings -2.5 -125 W
WNBA: 3x Aces -10.5 at Sky W, 1.5x A’ja Wilson over 11.5 Rebounds -110 L, 1x Wings 1Q +3.5 -108 L, 1.5 Wings 1H +6.5 -112 W, 0.25x Wings 1H ML +295 L
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26(+0.20 units)
MLB: 2x Luis Gil under 15.5 outs +100 W
NBA Draft: 4.8x Ron Holland over 9.5 -250 L, 5x Ron Holland top 10 pick +230 W, 0.4x Pacome Dadiet drafted in Top 20 +1900 L, 3x Pacome Dadiet drafted in 1st Round -125 W, 2x Dillingham -105 drafted ahead of Holland L, 2x Ron Holland over 9.5 draft position -170 L, 1x Terrence Shannon 1st Round -210 W, 0.3x Stephon Castle #3 pick +1900 L, 0.2x Reed Sheppard +2900 for #1 pick L
June 21 futures: 1x Stephon Castle #4 pick +200 W, 3x Dalton Knecht NBA Draft Position under 9.5 -130 L, 3x Zaccharie Risacher #1 overall pick -110 W
TUESDAY, JUNE 25 (-5.65 units)
In-game: 5x Liberty/Lynx under 168.5 L
MONDAY, JUNE 24(+12.23 units)
Game 7: 5.25x Oilers +100 at Panthers (hedge of future) L, 1x Oilers to score last (no OT) -105 L, 1x 1st period under 1.5 (-142) L
June 21 future: 2x Aleksander Barkov Conn Smythe +1500 L
June 19 futures: 5x NHL Prop: McDavid to win Conn Smythe and Panthers win Cup +155 W, 0.3x Matthew Tkachuk +15000 to win Conn Smythe L
June 18 futures: 5x Connor McDavid +100 to win Conn Smythe W, 5x Connor McDavid +200 to win Conn Smythe W, 5x Connor McDavid +240 to win Conn Smythe W
June 15 future: 4x Sergei Bobrovsky Conn Smythe +140 L
June 13 future: 2x Sergei Bobrovsky to win Conn Smythe -425 L
SUNDAY, JUNE 23(+7.40 units)
3x Seattle 2H +.5 W, 2x Angel Reese over 10.5 rebounds -130 W, 2x Angel Reese over 11.5 rebounds +120 W
SATURDAY, JUNE 22 (-19.60 units)
In-game: 5x Sparks 1H ML +105 L, 4x Sparks/Liberty 2H under 83.5 -110 L
UFC Fight Night: 2x Walker/Oezdimir under 2.5 -170 W, 2x Pavlovich / Volkov under 1.5 -135 L, 0.5x Pavlovich R1 +130 L
WNBA: 2x Sparks +16 at Liberty W, 5x Wings -1 at Mystics L, 5x Wings 1st Half -1 at Mystics L
FRIDAY, JUNE 21(+14.70 units)
In-game: 2x Dream +7.5 +100 L, 5x Aces -3.5 -113 W, 5x Sun Team Total under 78.5 -105 W, 3x Sun +9.5 -110 L
Pregame: 5x Fever -2 at Dream W, 4x Aces -5.5 vs. Sun W, 1x Panthers/Oilers over 5.5 goals W
THURSDAY, JUNE 20(+0.40 units)
In-game: 5x Sparks/Liberty 1H under 78.5 -102 L
Pregame: 3x Dallas Wings Team Total under 77.5 points -105W, 2x Angel Reese over 10.5 Rebounds -104W, 1x Wings/Sky under 160.5 -110W, 0.5x Prop: both teams under 72.5 points +1100 L
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 19(+10.40 units)
In-game: 3x Lynx 3Q -1.5 vs. Dream W, 3x Dream Team Total under 67.5 -120 (Halftime) W
Pre-game: 0.5x Orioles/Yankees under 8 -120 L, 5x Lynx -8.5 vs. Dream W
TUESDAY, JUNE 18(+5.90 units)
In-game: 5x Sparks/Sun under 148.5 -104 L, 2x Sparks Team Total under 63.5 -120 L, 4x Sun 3rd Quarter -3.5 -120 W, 5x Sun -16.5 +102, 3x Sun 3Q -0.5 -160W, 3x Sun 3Q -1.5 -135W, 5x Sparks +19.5 -115W, 3x Mercury 1H +5.5 -110 W, 0.4x Mercury 1H exact lead by 1-3 points +750 L, 5x Liberty -1.5 +102 at Mercury L, 3x Mercury +6.5 -105W
WNBA: 3x Mercury 1st Half +3 vs. Liberty W
MONDAY, JUNE 17 (-21.26 units)
In-game: 5x Celtics 2H ML +116 L, 5x DAL/BOS under 203.5 W, 5x DAL/BOS 4Q under 50.5 W, 3x DAL/BOS over 198.5 -113 L
WNBA: 5x Lynx -15 vs. Wings L, 5x Lynx 1st Half -8.5 vs. Wings L, 5x Wings Team Total under 72.5 points L, 2x Tierra McCowan over 13.5 points -122 L, 1x Tierra McCowan over 9.5 Rebounds +105 L
NBA: 1.5x Dante Exum over 0.5 made 3-pointers +143 W, 1.5x Dante Exum over 2.5 points -135 W, 2x Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -115 L, 0.75x Kyrie Irving under 23.5 points -102 W, 0.3x Sam Hauser to lead NBA Finals in 3-pointers +20000 L, 3x Tatum to lead NBA Finals in Assists +115 W, 1x Dereck Lively over 8.5 Rebounds -115 L, 1x Dereck Lively to lead Game 5 in Rebounds +450 L, 0.5x Dereck Lively Double-Double +280 L
June 14 future: 1x Jrue Holiday to lead NBA Finals in Rebounds +7000 L
June 9 futures: 1x Derrick White NBA Finals Assists leader +1000 L, Jrue Holiday NBA Finals Assists leader +1100 L
June 5 futures: 0.2x Jrue Holiday NBA Finals MVP +6500 L, 2.5x parlay -143: Luka NBA Finals Assist leader -700 + Luka Points leader -205 L, 2.5x parlay +129: Luka NBA Finals Assist leader -700 + Luka 3-pointers leader +100 L, 1x Dereck Lively NBA Finals Rebounds leader +1200 L
May 7 futures: 5x Celtics to win NBA title +105 W, 0.5x Derrick White to win NBA Finals MVP +3400 L
SUNDAY, JUNE 16 (-8.70 units)
In-game: 0.5x Pavon U.S. Open +1200 L, 5x Storm +9.5 -113 W, 3x McIlroy +125, 4x McIlroy -150 L, 3x McIlroy -225 L, 3x McIlroy -185 L, 1x Cantlay +2500 L, 3x DeChambeau +300 W
WNBA: 3x Angel Reese under 14.5 points -115 W, 1.5x Caitlin Clark under 16.5 Points -110 L
U.S. Open: 0.5x Scottie Scheffler to finish in Top 10 -250 L
SATURDAY, JUNE 15(+2.85 units)
WNBA: 3x Liberty/Aces 1Q over 44.5 +100 W, 5x Liberty ML -105 (Halftime) W, 3x Aces +5.5 -105 (entering 4Q) L
UFC: 2x Carli Judice +140 vs. Gabriella Fernandes L
FRIDAY, JUNE 14 (-3.244 units)
In-game: 2.7x Tatum over 27.5 pts -122 L, 5x Mavs -25.5 -110 W, 5x Mavs -26.5 -105 W, 5x Celtics +27.5 -106 L, 5x Mavs Team Total under 113.5 +100 L, 5x under 199.5 +100 L
NBA: 1x Dallas win Race to 10 points -110 W, 1x Dallas win Race to 20 points -120 W, 0.5x PJ Washington first basket +1100 L, 3x Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -108 W, 1x Derrick Lively over 8.5 Rebounds +110 W, 0.25x Jaylen Brown to lead Game 4 in Assists +1200 L
THURSDAY, JUNE 13(+14.375 units)
In-game: 3x Wings +9.5 -102 W, 4x Dream/Fever under 175.5 -115 W, 3x Dream/Fever 4Q under 34.5 -110 L, 3x Aces/Mercury 1H under 75.5 -105 L, 5x Aces -2.5 -105 W, 5x Aces ML -140 W, 3x Aces over 99.5 points -115 W, 3x Mercury +4.5 +100 W
MLB: 2x Royals Team Total over 2.5 runs in First 5 innings (+105) L
WNBA: 2x Mercury +7 vs. Aces W
NHL: 1.5x Panthers/Oilers under 5.5 -115 L
June 8 future: 0.3x Phoenix Mercury to win Commissioner’s Cup +3100
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 12 (-20.255 units)
In-game: 5x Mavs -5.5 -105 L, 4x Jayson Tatum under 26.5 points -108 L, 3x Sun 3Q -2.5 -110 W
NBA: 5x Mavericks -2 vs. Celtics L, 2x Exact outcome prop: Bos/Bos/Dal/Bos/Bos +450 L, 3.5x Jrue Holiday over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists -115L, 2x Jayson Tatum under 25.5 points -108L, 0.5x Kristaps Porzingis under 13.5 points -118 P
TUESDAY, JUNE 11(+9.390 units)
In-game / Hedges: 5x Dream -1.5 +108 vs. Mystics L, 2x Mystics Team Total under 76.5 -105 L, 4x Lynx 2H Team Total over 37.5 -115 W, 1x Lynx 2H ML +325 W, 5x Lynx -5.5 +100 W, 2x Aces +15.5 +102 W
WNBA: 3x Storm 1st Half -6.5 vs. Sparks L, 5x Storm -10.5 vs. Sparks W, 3x Lynx +6 at Aces W
MONDAY, JUNE 10(+0.50 units)
0.5x Oilers/Panthers under 5.5 W
SUNDAY, JUNE 9(+19.00 units)
In-game plays / Hedges: 3x Mystics 1H +5.5 -102 W, 1x Mystics ML 3-way +340 W, 2x Liberty 1H under 45.5 points -115 W. 5x Mystics Total after 3Q over 60.5 +100 W, 5x Mercury/Wings 2H under 80.5 -110 L, 4x Mercury -4.5 +105 W, 5x Mercury -2.5 -110 W, 5x Wings +4.5 +128 L, 2x Wings +3.5 +148 L, 5x Lynx -3.5 -110 W, 5x Storm +6.5 -110 L
WNBA: 4x Mystics/Liberty under 158.5, 2x Mystics +14.5 at Liberty W, 4x Lynx +1 vs. Storm W, 5x Lynx ML +102 W
NBA: 5x Luka Doncic under 8.5 Assists -108 L, 4x Jayson Tatum under 26.5 points -112 W, 1x Jayson Tatum over 9.5 Rebounds +110 L, 3x Jrue Holiday over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists -120 W, 2x Kristaps Porzingis over 1.5 Blocks +105 W
SATURDAY, JUNE 8 (-10.0 units)
3x Liberty/Sun under 157.5 W, 2x Dream/Sky under 159 L, 1x “Sierra Leone” in Belmont Stakes to WIN L, 0.75x Oilers/Panthers under 5.5 -105 W, 0.25x Oilers +125 L
UFC: 1x Parlay +126: Lapilus + Lee L, 0.3x Lapilus KO +600 L, 1.5x Moura/Gomes under 2.5 -120 L, 0.2x Gomes via KO +550 L, 0.2x Butler +490 L, 1x Klein/Moses under 2.5 +110 L, 3x Baeza/Soriano will NOT start R3 -155 L, 0.75x Baeza in R3 +900 L, 1x Marquez under 1.5 -175 W, 1x Marquez ITD +110 L, 1x Soltzfus under 1.5 -115 W, 0.3x Reyes via DEC +550 L, 0.25x Imavov R1 +650 L, 0.15x Imavov R2 +900 L, 0.1x Cannonier R3 +2000 L, 0.6x Cannonier R4, R5 or DEC +200 L
FRIDAY, JUNE 7(+21.18 units)
In-game Plays/Hedges: 2x Mystics +6.5 -115 W, 3x Fever/Mystics 4Q under 38.5 -102 W, 3x Mystics +3.5 -110 W, 2x Fever/Mystics over 166.5 +100 W, 3x Lynx 1H +3.5 -105 W, 3x Mercury 1H – .5 -110 W, 5x Storm/Aces under 148.5 -113 W, 4x Lynx 3Q -2.5 -115 W, 2x Mercury +6.5 -110 W, 3x Mercury +6.5 -105 W, 3x Mercury +6.5 +110 W, 2x Storm/Aces over 141.5 -105 W
WNBA: 5x Fever -1.5 at Mystics W, 3x Sparks Team Total under 78.5 -104 L, 5x additional Lynx -5.5 at Mercury L, 5x ML Parlay: (+118): Sky -192 + Lynx -230 L, 5x Lynx -5.5 at Mercury L
THURSDAY, JUNE 6(+13.695 units)
In-game: 4x Sky/Mystics under 153.5 -110 W, 3x Mystics +6.5 -105 vs. Sky L, 5x Liberty/Dream under 149.5 -113 W, 5x Liberty/Dream over 148.5 -102 L, 4x DAL/BOS under 206.5 -110 W
NBA: 1x Kristaps Porzingis under 15.5 points -102 L, 0.5x Dereck Lively over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists -117 L, 0.5x Dereck Lively over 7.5 Rebounds +108 L
WNBA: 2x Angel Reese over 8.5 Rebounds -125 W, 4x Sky/Mystics under 156.5, 5x ML Parlay (+101:) Lynx -310 + Sky -192 W
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 5(+17.10 units)
In-game: 2.5x 1H Aces/Wings under 85.5 -110 L, 5x Lynx 3rd Qtr -1.5 +110 (Halftime) L, 1x Sparks 3Q +7.5 -125 W, 5x Lynx -19.5 +106 at Sparks (Halftime) W, 5x Lynx -17.5 -108 (entering 4Q) W
WNBA: 2x Kelsey Plum over 19.5 points -110 W, 1.5x Teaira McCowan under 7.5 Rebounds +124 L, 5x Wings +8.5 vs. Aces -105 (HEDGE of Aces -6) L, 5x Aces -6 at Wings W, 4x Aces/Wings under 167 L, 5x Teaser: Aces -3.5 and Lynx -3.5 W, 3x Lynx -7.5 at Sparks W, 5x ML Parlay -119: Liberty and Aces (from Tuesday) W, 5x Teaser -110: Liberty -2.5 and Aces -2 (from Tuesday) W
TUESDAY, JUNE 4(+8.40 units)
In-game: 4x Mystics +7.5 -105 L, 4x Mystics/Sun under 137.5 -105 W, 5x Sky +6.5 vs. Liberty -113 L, 4x Liberty/Sky under 177.5 +100 W, 4x Liberty/Sky under 171.5 -105 W, 2x Liberty/Sky over 164.5 L, 4x Mercury/Storm under 158.5 -115 W, 4x Mercury Team Total under 73.5 W, 5x Mercury/Storm under 145.5 -105 W, 3x Mercury Team Total under 63.5 -130 W
MLB: 0.5x Royals First 5 -105 at Guardians W, 0.5x Cubs First 5 -250 vs. White Sox L, 2x Luis Gil over 17.5 outs +100 W
WNBA: 5x Teaser: Mercury +9.5 + Lynx -3.5 L, 3x Mercury +7.5 at Storm L
MONDAY, JUNE 3
No plays
SUNDAY, JUNE 2(+26.36 units)
In-game: 5x Sun/Dream 1H under 70.5 -125 W, 5x Sun/Dream 2Q under 36.5 -130 W, 5x Sun/Dream under 141.5 -105 W, 2x Sun/Dream over 136.5 -115 L, 5x Mercury -6.5 +100 vs. Sparks W, 5x Sparks +10.5 -108 at Mercury L, 4x Sparks/Mercury under 140.5 -111 L, 5x Fever +19.5 at Liberty -108 L, 5x Lynx 3Q -2.5 -105 W, 5x Lynx -4.5 vs. Wings -105 W, 5x Lynx -6.5 vs. Wings +105 W
WNBA: 2x Sun/Dream under 160 W, 2x Sparks/Mercury over 163 -105 L, 3x ML Parlay: Mercury + Lynx (-108) W, 1x Tiera McCowan under 8.5 Rebounds -140 W, 5x Mercury -4.5 vs. Sparks W
SATURDAY, JUNE 1 (-3.99 units)
UFC 302: 0.5x Joselyn Edwards DEC +300 L, 0.1x Edwards R3 +2200 L, 0.1x Edwards R3 KO +3500 L, 0.2x Morono/Price over 2.5 rounds +130 W, 0.2x Kopylov R1 +600 L, 1x Brown/Dos Santos under 2.5 rounds +115 L, 0.2x Dos Santos KO +500 L, 0.3x Grant Dawson via KO +550 L, 2x Jailton Almeida ITD -150 W, 0.5x Jailton Almeida in R1 or R2 -105 W, 0.75x Holland ITD -115 W, 0.3x Strickland R3 +1200 L, 0.2x Strickland R4 +1600 L, 0.2x Strickland R5 +1800 L, 2x Makhachev/Poirier under 2.5 rounds -160 L, 1x Makhachev SUB +100 W
WNBA: 2x Sky -3.5 at Fever L