Calgary Flames (-260) vs Dallas Stars (+210)
PICK: Calgary ML and Under for Game 1. Dallas +PL for Game 2.
The glaring stat that stands out is -$1,410 for betting on Calgary at home as a favorite. I think the best way to attack this series is when Calgary is on the road. These will be tight games and look for Dallas to steal one of the initial two games, I’m thinking game two. I also wouldn’t be surprised if this goes to seven games. The Puck Line will definitely come into play so if you can get a good number don’t be afraid to take Dallas +PL.
These two teams aren’t as deep as some of the other Cup contenders. Gaudreau leads the Flames and continues to be a scoring threat whenever he’s on the ice, along with Matt “The Rat” Tkachuk, Elias Lindholm and Andrew Mangiapane (where has that offensive output gone?). Dallas is thin on the front line with Pavelski, Robertson and Roope Hintz as their only threats all season long. The long-forgotten Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn are on their way out. Goaltending by both teams will keep the games tight and newcomer Jake Oettinger for Dallas has been a nice surprise after the rotating door of Khudobin, Wedgewood and Holtby. Calgary has ridden Markstrom all year long to a first place spot in the Pacific.
Regular Season Series: Calgary 2-1
Nov 4th: DAL 4 (Khudobin) @ CGY 3 (Markstrom) (OT)
Feb 1st: CGY 4 (Markstrom(3)/Vladar) @ DAL 3 (Oettinger)
Apr 21st: DAL 2 (Oettinger) @ CGY 4 (Markstrom)
Calgary Numbers
Home Wins 61% (25-16); Away Wins 61% (25-16)
Home Favorite 59% (23-16); Away Favorite 70% (19-8)
Home 55% Over (21O/17U); Away 51% Over (19O/18U)
Home v Central 42% (5-7); Away v Central 58% (7-5)
Home Favorite -$1,410; Away Favorite +$822
Home PL 54% (22-19); Away PL 54% (22-19)
Dallas Numbers
Home Wins 66% (27-14); Away Wins 46% (19-22)
Home Dog 60% (6-4); Away Dog 40% (8-12)
Home 54% Under (22U/19O); Away 56% Under (22U/17O)
Home v Pacific 75% (9-3); Away v Pacific 33% (4-8)
Home Dog +$261; Away Dog -$91
Home PL 46% (19-22); Away PL 37% (15-26)
