By Doug Kezirian
Updated 11/14/23 3:04am ET
After orchestrating back-to-back comeback, thrilling wins, Houston Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has garnered national buzz and many on-air personalities are arguing his MVP case.
Those pundits casually used the word “favorite” and other similar terms. The betting world interprets that word differently and the market reflects the eventual award-winner, rather than assessing the award at this juncture of the season.
Both parties can be right, and we saw a great example of it a few weeks ago. Numerous talking heads championed Brock Purdy’s MVP campaign – before the the San Francisco 49ers promptly lost three straight games. However, Purdy did reach third-favorite status so it’s not like the experts knew any better.
Stroud entered the season with MVP odds in the neighborhood of 200-to-1. After those comeback wins, his odds sat at +4000 (40-to-1) on Sunday night. A day later, they had lowered to 25-to-1. The market is reacting and reflecting a possible path.
I would not get involved at the current odds but I do not think it’s out of the question that it cashes. I just think the value is long gone and so much must occur between now and Week 18 for him to actually win it. in conclusion, it’s not “dead money” but it’s not worth betting right now.
Photo Courtesy: Icon Sportswire
